Europa Conference League · resolved market
SK Brann vs. PAOK: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1725a39f7273ea254b8efe70709030066bf1d2b058eb08e8720dabbce9c74359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Brannof SK Brann, PAOK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked PAOK | 57c | 6,403$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.55 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked SK Brann | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed SK Brann | 54c | 946.85$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.55 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed PAOK | 46c | 781.5$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.49 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed SK Brann | 43c | 201.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 1,200 | 47.4%569 W · 631 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed SK Brann | 45c | 143.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PAOK | 48c | 140.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed SK Brann | 43c | 132.8$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked SK Brann | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked PAOK | 57c | 102.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SK Brann | 60c | 91.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked PAOK | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed SK Brann | 43c | 84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked SK Brann | 44c | 77.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked PAOK | 26c | 70.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed SK Brann | 52c | 65.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked SK Brann | 52c | 55.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SK Brann | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 429 | 57.1%245 W · 184 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed SK Brann | 49c | 53.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked PAOK | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed SK Brann | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed PAOK | 56c | 45.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 473 | 42.1%199 W · 274 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed PAOK | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed PAOK | 55c | 39.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 891 | 53.4%476 W · 415 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked PAOK | 59c | 39.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb842…5204backed SK Brann | 44c | 32.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PAOK | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 343 | 23%79 W · 264 L | -43.3wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed PAOK | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked PAOK | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed PAOK | 52c | 20.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Team to Advancethis page
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: O/U 5.5Under won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: PAOK O/U 1.5Over won
- SK Brann vs. PAOK: SK Brann O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)PAOK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.