Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa22b538babc0a9540a71bbd63abb7e09d316adb70dace13e668b4bdafac9f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 79c | 10,000$7,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.89 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 3,646$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.22 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 67c | 3,532$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.51 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 3,482$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.32 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 3,214$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.63 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 2,847$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.64 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 77c | 2,636$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.87 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 2,042$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.15 | 1,155 | 49.3%569 W · 586 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 1,839$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.32 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 73c | 1,648$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.75 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 40c | 1,342$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.65 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 1,269$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 2,612 | 37.8%988 W · 1,624 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 1,128$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.12 | 413 | 49.2%203 W · 210 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 11c | 971.43$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 1,347 | 56.5%761 W · 586 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 891.51$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.1 | 1,575 | 35.2%554 W · 1,021 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 20c | 869.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.73 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 23c | 868.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.27 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 36c | 749.82$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 18c | 686.36$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.65 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 638.73$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 1,807 | 50.2%908 W · 899 L | +32.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 66c | 603.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 63c | 480$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.4 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,134 | 41.4%470 W · 664 L | -17.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82fa…355ebacked Yes | 62c | 411.29$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 66c | 329.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe288…ecaebacked Yes | 77c | 320.92$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 28c | 268.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 34c | 261.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 436 | 50.5%220 W · 216 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 66c | 255.41$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 890 | 38.1%339 W · 551 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 2,076 | 54.2%1,126 W · 950 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 33c | 242.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 68c | 224$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 36c | 202.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 429 | 50.8%218 W · 211 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 38c | 189$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 67c | 156.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 78c | 140.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 11c | 135.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 986 | 35.1%346 W · 640 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…615ebacked No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 78c | 126.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…5795backed Yes | 79c | 126.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 66c | 116.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…2348backed No | 34c | 98.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 92.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 143 | 62.2%89 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 36c | 81.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…54edbacked Yes | 66c | 79.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 18c | 74.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 17c | 73.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 641 | 42.7%274 W · 367 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x518d…5a2cbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 78c | 44.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 70c | 39.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 392 | 47.7%187 W · 205 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 76c | 34.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…1ccebacked Yes | 67c | 34.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac7…37d8backed Yes | 66c | 31.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…4eb1backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 238 | 55%131 W · 107 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9b…2bf9backed Yes | 66c | 27.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Yes | 78c | 15.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-24?this page
- Will NEOM SC vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.