TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22a0…6702

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Asian League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9248.9%45 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$2,438.45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.75
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.09
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$91.94
Australia vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$291.18
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$92.96
Spain vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.78
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-76.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)backed Al Nassr Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.