Fifa International · resolved market
Brahim Díaz: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48e874c49deebf2aa50b9622467013a810ee9323ba3aaf2f7a807f190ab4c022
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 15c | 3,277$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.2 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 3c | 1,538$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,420$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,061$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…56cfbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 15c | 433.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…d38bbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3514…b84ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25f…60cbbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…de70backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…bab9backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5222…f6e0backed Yes | 16c | 294.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…de35backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 13c | 265.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 16c | 201.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes | 16c | 167.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 13c | 147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…2dd5backed Yes | 14c | 144$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…49fcbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 32.5%50 W · 104 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd3…8484backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…04e2backed Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…b1cdbacked Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 14c | 104.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 90.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a0…6702backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsthis page
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ shotsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ shotsYes won
- Manu Koné: 2+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 3+ shotsNo won
- Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.