TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ismael Saibari: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,449
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,920

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,449 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8de…d11ebacked Yes3c4,839$166 inLost-$166.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes1c1,967$26 inLost-$25.956443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9e…53c2backed Yes1c1,489$15 inLost-$15862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes2c1,413$23 inLost-$23.0595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes2c1,381$30 inLost-$3072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd683…864abacked Yes2c1,112$19 inLost-$18.53425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5492…780bbacked Yes4c611.19$27 inLost-$27.221428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c4…df8abacked Yes3c517.24$15 inLost-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07bf…50a4backed Yes9c448.81$40 inLost-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes7c343.48$23 inLost-$2316019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3def…1186backed Yes3c315.25$10 inLost-$10130%0 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed Yes10c250$25 inLost-$258822.7%20 W · 68 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes9c228.53$20 inLost-$20637.9%5 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e18…0c3dbacked Yes8c212.06$17 inLost-$17.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.