TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 2+ assists

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,320
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,320 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes10c8,000$760 inLost-$76012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x752e…bfacbacked Yes9c2,931$250 inLost-$2501216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3082…4a18backed Yes9c1,264$116 inLost-$115.6810451%53 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes8c1,220$103 inLost-$103.461,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes8c1,023$80 inLost-$8016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes8c573.31$47 inLost-$47.011,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x393f…bb0bbacked Yes9c560.05$50 inLost-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes8c522.37$44 inLost-$44.2829813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes9c513.66$44 inLost-$44.271,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes8c500$40 inLost-$39.57315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes8c362.64$30 inLost-$306927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes9c348.75$30 inLost-$3032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes9c263.16$25 inLost-$2525532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Yes8c246.91$20 inLost-$209713.4%13 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Yes9c224.87$20 inLost-$203627.8%10 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Yes9c218.39$19 inLost-$198522.4%19 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcac9…b4bbbacked Yes8c208.4$16 inLost-$15.635735.1%20 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes10c204.08$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x914c…9bb5backed Yes10c204.08$20 inLost-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Yes10c202.02$20 inLost-$2016739.5%66 W · 101 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes9c169$14 inLost-$14.463,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes9c166.15$14 inLost-$14.483,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes9c154.04$13 inLost-$13.253,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c142.99$12 inLost-$11.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No76c26$20 inWon+$6.1565737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.