TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,575 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No76c74,157$56,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,797.5774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Yes24c20,833$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes24c11,111$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.6419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No77c10,000$7,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.84652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes24c8,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009929.3%29 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes24c7,704$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.976737.3%25 W · 42 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c6,900$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5671,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes23c5,576$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.8511348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No76c5,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9719148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes24c4,032$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.766338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+28.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No77c3,483$2,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d10…18abbacked Yes25c3,479$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes24c3,125$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c2,680$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.352,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b70…65a0backed Yes21c2,371$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.512015%3 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No79c1,701$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.582,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca62…e6b2backed Yes13c1,400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803613.9%5 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No77c1,344$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.122,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No77c1,028$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1739951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No77c1,010$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4817356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes24c937.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007652.6%40 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x274e…e53dbacked Yes24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a25…cfc7backed Yes24c797.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4260%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c741.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e8…21cfbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes20c721.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.921,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc576…8dcabacked Yes27c693.27$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes22c641$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.021,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes14c499.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No74c487$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.627259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Yes25c485$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes10c481.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Yes24c479.17$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes14c474.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9918843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked No75c459.41$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8513261.4%81 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018742.8%80 W · 107 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…b4a9backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7f…1bd0backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Yes24c407$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.689239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No76c375.05$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.533,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Yes24c375$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebda…5208backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes10c350.84$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.041,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0034…d5a8backed Yes6c350$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8146…098dbacked Yes24c325.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes24c300.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0425639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes11c273.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307731.2%24 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes11c270.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020638.8%80 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd06d…e9ddbacked Yes23c249.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c246.75$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.423,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes22c240.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.033,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503946.2%18 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504540%18 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed Yes24c191.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e4c…25c3backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Yes26c184.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d77…994bbacked Yes11c184.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.871631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes29c174.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012556.8%71 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6437…edb1backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes25c163.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.427735.1%27 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No75c162.2$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes24c154$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.966543.1%28 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3616747.3%79 W · 88 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cec…a0abbacked Yes24c148$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5216042.5%68 W · 92 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Yes17c141.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413736.5%50 W · 87 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.246319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8719148.7%93 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0c…7794backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477e…23b3backed Yes13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.612058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010136.6%37 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5999…bf2cbacked Yes27c106.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x258c…f0bebacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f59…fb9dbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x445e…423fbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda59…d01cbacked Yes14c103.57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55628.6%16 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.