TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Michael Olise: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No69c21,993$15,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.7932765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No68c9,999$6,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.6813163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes32c8,000$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56012616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No70c5,714$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.2916260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No69c5,689$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.21,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes30c5,475$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.372,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes31c3,197$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes11c3,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes32c2,188$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked No70c1,932$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.5830214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e90…4782backed Yes31c1,579$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.462433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No70c1,393$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.52,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes39c1,350$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9198134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No65c1,302$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes41c1,189$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.641,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes30c1,173$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf2…a5ebbacked Yes31c1,038$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005437%20 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf8…92b8backed No71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29014461.1%88 W · 56 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No67c955.12$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.1914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c931.48$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.473,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c920.66$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.013,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb849…3787backed Yes32c881.91$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274e…e53dbacked Yes31c806.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5df…0f22backed No72c772.24$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.41540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No53c714.5$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes30c706.1$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8343248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No64c688.13$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.782,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Yes32c647.17$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.872119%4 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c8…942dbacked Yes31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71cc…9144backed Yes30c633.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19023544.7%105 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No70c574.55$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes31c526.21$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7225532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06d…e9ddbacked Yes31c500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No68c499.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9912875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No63c494.8$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.1472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes28c488.88$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabb2…0bc2backed Yes32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012949.6%64 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6662…50adbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c444.76$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.512,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No70c419.96$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.992560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No70c416.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.11,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No70c395.43$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6331171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes30c390$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes39c388.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Yes32c375$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b24…64c4backed Yes30c361.5$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003630.6%11 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c29…efe5backed Yes30c333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97315.1%11 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No76c332.71$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…23dfbacked Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a9…7590backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004812.5%6 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34f6…5d76backed Yes32c312.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08d5…1cbbbacked Yes35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510726.2%28 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes31c285.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6347049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09de…0b68backed Yes31c268.71$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.35147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes32c268.36$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.721,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed Yes30c263.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804020%8 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No70c255$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7146230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No64c253$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.391,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed40…e2f4backed Yes33c249.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Yes32c249.44$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8211325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52c…f7cfbacked Yes30c248.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.327035.7%25 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8ad…411abacked Yes30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709748.5%47 W · 50 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5828873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686570.8%46 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x206c…d936backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603831.6%12 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+62.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes18c198$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.368028.8%23 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No61c197.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.131,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No68c188.76$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.767065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90af…faa9backed No69c186.62$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f0…8f99backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x655a…5024backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012839.1%50 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3275…008dbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5026…dde1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507938%30 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011926.1%31 W · 88 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4b4…2c37backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4e…d20dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507936.7%29 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f5d…de70backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505632.1%18 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeedb…a9e3backed Yes31c160$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67243.1%31 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa739…19c8backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013141.2%54 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ede…5212backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011155.9%62 W · 49 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026151.7%135 W · 126 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7371…cadebacked Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519960.8%121 W · 78 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed No67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1721251.9%110 W · 102 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes30c140$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4213441.8%56 W · 78 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.