Fifa International · resolved market
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0623b1090be6db0d408efa8a7fc9bd4252d986b6e61f5f1cc6c20f8a8aceda4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 23c | 5,043$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,883.48 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 77c | 3,872$2,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,981.19 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,772$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.75 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 21c | 1,551$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.19 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 77c | 1,340$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.78 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 1,117$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.81 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 970.53$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.14 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 77c | 846.96$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.16 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 78c | 708.19$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.53 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 79c | 599.98$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.98 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 572.84$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.71 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…c6a6backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 128 | 75.8%97 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90af…faa9backed No | 80c | 496.58$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1c…02eabacked No | 79c | 449.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.48 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 446.94$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7475…74bbbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…1371backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 35c | 291$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…8086backed No | 78c | 257$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.46 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 21c | 250$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 73c | 239.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 128 | 39.1%50 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 232.79$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7cccbacked Yes | 22c | 222.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 113 | 23%26 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…8b8ebacked No | 80c | 198.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…9574backed Yes | 23c | 171.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…b900backed Yes | 23c | 140.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 131.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…0ff4backed Yes | 21c | 117.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 78c | 107.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 47c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…ef9fbacked Yes | 26c | 95.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b41…50a7backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f3…3ffebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1928…1953backed No | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…23f7backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…cfafbacked Yes | 22c | 70$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 16c | 67.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…01e5backed Yes | 21c | 67.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 61.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…fb74backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 79c | 37.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 77c | 24.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 77c | 17.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assiststhis page
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Achraf Hakimi: 3+ shotsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ goalsNo won
- Adrien Rabiot: 1+ shotsYes won
- Adrien Rabiot: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goalsNo won
- Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ayoub El Kaabi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Azzedine Ounahi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsNo won
- Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 1+ shotsYes won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 2+ shotsNo won
- Brahim Díaz: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Chemsdine Talbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Dayot Upamecano: 1+ shotsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ assistsYes won
- Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ assistsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 2+ goalsNo won
- Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Saibari: 1+ shotsNo won
- Jules Koundé: 1+ shotsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 1+ assistsNo won
- Lucas Digne: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ assistsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 1+ shotsYes won
- Manu Koné: 2+ goalsNo won
- Manu Koné: 3+ shotsNo won
- Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 1+ shotsYes won
- Michael Olise: 2+ assistsNo won
- Michael Olise: 2+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 3+ goalsNo won
- Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Neil El Aynaoui: 1+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.