TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$994,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,101,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $994,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Yes52c133,448$69,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,055.1474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,00016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No48c100,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.8221343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes53c47,170$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,169.813925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac57…ffcbbacked Yes53c37,740$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,740.29922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-59.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No47c30,609$14,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,358.8246464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c27,000$12,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,780.921,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed No48c25,953$12,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,450.074042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No48c24,999$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.692317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No47c22,222$10,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,444.321836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes54c21,706$11,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,092.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No48c19,432$9,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,240.8313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No47c19,033$8,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,914.4824146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c19,014$9,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,061.6774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes47c18,811$8,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,043.6914856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Yes52c14,332$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,832.3713036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No46c13,066$6,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,060.4824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes52c12,100$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,807.9530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No48c11,640$5,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,586.9650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No46c11,340$5,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,263.2513163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes52c10,618$5,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,096.4612616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.924652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…204bbacked Yes52c9,980$5,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,790.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c9,950$5,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes52c9,617$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,617.483966.7%26 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No47c9,411$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,467.362,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…900dbacked Yes46c9,070$4,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.231442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.9516835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes65c8,870$5,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.8498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No48c8,700$4,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,17625038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed No48c8,320$3,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,993.66541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No47c7,008$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.5814860.1%89 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes50c6,623$3,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,329.4220245.5%92 W · 110 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes53c6,604$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,103.777122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c6,250$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed No49c6,250$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.510734.6%37 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Yes49c6,152$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.163026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked No49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-76%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Yes53c6,100$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8677640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes53c6,088$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.715429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No58c5,841$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.6519252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No6c5,789$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.262,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes57c5,657$3,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.1616042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked No48c5,500$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.995646.4%26 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes67c5,315$3,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.0916336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed No48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac1b…2068backed Yes51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad5…4990backed Yes52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.985962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.6310959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.637729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Yes53c4,511$2,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,120.23132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed No47c4,492$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,111.2412241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No34c4,394$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes51c4,267$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.1118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No46c4,226$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.122259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes52c4,175$2,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.666745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes53c4,049$2,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.1223240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No22c3,978$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.072,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No52c3,916$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes52c3,900$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.3746230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes66c3,817$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.291,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.715337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.711641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes49c3,404$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.5636123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee0c…3e4dbacked Yes69c3,341$2,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.418158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc99d…93b0backed Yes53c3,198$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.751435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes51c3,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e4…6d13backed Yes52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed No58c2,873$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.216630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked No46c2,736$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.5111558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes49c2,609$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x174a…48e9backed No48c2,587$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.762913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed No3c2,550$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55c5…1710backed Yes53c2,546$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.622725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1757241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c2,497$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.52,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes53c2,369$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.638425%21 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No47c2,317$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.438652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No46c2,222$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.1234249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No49c2,117$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.422166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9236…db6dbacked Yes54c2,109$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.2916341.1%67 W · 96 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96017356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.947552%39 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes47c1,975$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.8810045%45 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0820633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes52c1,881$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.678235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a06…201bbacked Yes55c1,877$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.821145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd10…a804backed Yes55c1,805$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.992630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No47c1,755$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.2397742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No52c1,621$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.197545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No44c1,567$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.0732765.7%215 W · 112 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed No47c1,555$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.826043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No47c1,518$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.892,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.