TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee0c…3e4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
216
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18158.6%106 W · 75 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 181 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.59
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$76.22
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$1,029.4
France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,210
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.04
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$72.12
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Mexico vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$52.92
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$634.21
Brazil to score first vs. Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$488.24
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Showing 25 of 181 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$78.66
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$25.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.