MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4630348b6e6cb37edf6304792f0ca1a78955d8cb45ab09382e6881058ebcd78a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Minnesota Twins, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 16,062$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,983.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 14,967$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,783.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 11,540$8,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.3 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros | 66c | 8,292$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.99 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 49c | 7,769$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.16 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 31c | 6,389$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.65 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 48c | 6,121$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 5,977$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.54 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Minnesota Twins | 17c | 5,948$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.18 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 44c | 5,753$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.54 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 5,152$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.81 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 4,930$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.87 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 70c | 4,589$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.21 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 4,231$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 3,748$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 3,563$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Houston Astros | 59c | 3,284$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.04 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 3,140$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.66 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 39c | 3,050$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.72 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 3,025$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.49 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 20c | 2,800$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.83 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Houston Astros | 56c | 2,478$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.64 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 2,379$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 2,044$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.32 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Twins | 67c | 1,993$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.44 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 1,958$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.92 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 1,688$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,435$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.39 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Minnesota Twins | 6c | 1,430$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Houston Astros | 76c | 1,382$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.76 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,360$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 1,351$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…2247backed Minnesota Twins | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Houston Astros | 37c | 1,299$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.31 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,077$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.15 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.22 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.32 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 860.86$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.69 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Houston Astros | 64c | 717.96$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.46 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Twins | 26c | 714$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 711.62$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.81 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Houston Astros | 35c | 676$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.07 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Houston Astros | 65c | 670$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Houston Astros | 57c | 611.38$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.11 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 48c | 599.94$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 592.31$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.08 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Houston Astros | 30c | 555.17$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 44c | 515.19$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Houston Astros | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 487.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 483.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Houston Astros | 33c | 446.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.45 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Minnesota Twins | 57c | 419.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Houston Astros | 49c | 417.02$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…35aebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 399.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Houston Astros | 44c | 356.49$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.82 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Houston Astros | 33c | 352.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Houston Astros | 47c | 336$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 40c | 323.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…f6f6backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 322.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Houston Astros | 23c | 308.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Minnesota Twins | 13c | 295.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 293.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Houston Astros | 35c | 289.54$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 38c | 286.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 49c | 281$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.31 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Houston Astros | 29c | 265.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.94 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Houston Astros | 49c | 261$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 252.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Minnesota Twins | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 33c | 248$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Houston Astros | 49c | 235.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 67c | 232.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Houston Astros | 32c | 232$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.2 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 217.31$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed Minnesota Twins | 72c | 207.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Houston Astros | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Houston Astros | 38c | 201.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5b…34e5backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 35c | 176.77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Minnesota Twins | 66c | 176.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 171.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Minnesota Twins | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.