TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6535…063f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Endless Journey (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.49
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$366
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ding Cuts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winnerbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Oxuji Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$97.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.58
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+86.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.95
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+500.5%+$1,021
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.02
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+296.5%+$168.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.5
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+361.3%+$489.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$240.83
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$38.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+291.3%+$167.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick16cpaid+110.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.22
Milan: Francisco Comesana vs Daniel Rinconbacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$169.5
ITF Maanshan: Uisung Park vs Chan-Yeong Ohbacked Uisung Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
ITF Decatur: Ena Koike vs Ana Gruborbacked Ena Koike · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Majchrzakbacked Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Carlo Alberto Caniato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.25
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$166.5
Birmingham: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+291.3%+$167.5
Libema Open, Qualification: Britt Du Pree vs Joanna Garlandbacked Joanna Garland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+323%+$477.25
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Petr Bar Biryukovbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+283%+$332.5
Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$169.5
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta Shimizubacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$534
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.5
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
ITF Caserta: Alessandra Mazzola vs Aurora Zantedeschibacked Alessandra Mazzola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+594.4%+$856
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+279.7%+$165.75
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$97.5
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Barça eSports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick12cpaid+383.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+665.2%+$630.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+584.9%+$854
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Leicestershirebacked Sussex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Glamorganbacked Somerset · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+298.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+298.2%+$337
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.