TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Chicago Cubs, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$555,182
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$556,693

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,182 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Chicago Cubs61c67,788$41,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,350.6423948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Colorado Rockies39c64,103$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,102.5624146.1%111 W · 130 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs61c55,419$33,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,621.2277153.8%415 W · 356 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Colorado Rockies39c54,944$21,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,516.0228350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Chicago Cubs65c54,013$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0004348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Colorado Rockies28c45,627$12,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,741.651,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies39c23,881$9,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,521.411,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc1…b33cbacked Colorado Rockies44c20,870$9,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,763.4726257.3%150 W · 112 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies40c18,402$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,086.021,68150.1%842 W · 839 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Cubs62c17,868$11,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,157.494,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs61c17,516$10,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,740.4244154.2%239 W · 202 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs56c16,020$8,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,932.5521242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies39c12,870$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,809.794,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Colorado Rockies42c12,605$5,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,253.4514152.5%74 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado Rockies34c10,849$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,160.0388446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Chicago Cubs59c10,052$5,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,929.936653%35 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Colorado Rockies38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,199.8254051.1%276 W · 264 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs61c9,803$6,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,008.41,52751.1%780 W · 747 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs63c9,619$6,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,090.6110,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs64c9,446$6,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,092.6712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c20…66a9backed Colorado Rockies43c9,278$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,278.372268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Chicago Cubs56c7,063$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,955.2119239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Chicago Cubs62c6,764$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.3832351.7%167 W · 156 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Chicago Cubs61c6,604$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,028.552951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies38c6,330$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,924.733,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs57c5,556$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.533,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f8…fe20backed Chicago Cubs61c5,300$3,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2331553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Colorado Rockies39c4,569$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2328944.3%128 W · 161 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies38c4,251$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.075,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Colorado Rockies43c4,236$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.023,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…3992backed Colorado Rockies44c3,478$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.8315859.5%94 W · 64 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs62c3,307$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.41,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs67c3,255$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,188.714,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Chicago Cubs56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68014252.1%74 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Colorado Rockies38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,859.7377951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies40c2,948$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.352,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs56c2,577$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.758,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Chicago Cubs61c2,566$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5657758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs56c2,435$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.62,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies32c2,132$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.926,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Colorado Rockies42c2,098$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.576839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs71c2,083$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.471,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies33c2,068$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.31,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Chicago Cubs59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18016753.9%90 W · 77 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Colorado Rockies37c1,868$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.2552228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Colorado Rockies38c1,781$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.2252347.2%247 W · 276 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Chicago Cubs72c1,764$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.542420.8%5 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-61.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5674…2ff4backed Colorado Rockies44c1,739$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.9112960.5%78 W · 51 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4861…3aaebacked Colorado Rockies44c1,739$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.9112959.7%77 W · 52 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Chicago Cubs61c1,570$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.6751449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies44c1,407$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.156,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies39c1,400$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.9962447.6%297 W · 327 L-2.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs60c1,193$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.498,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Chicago Cubs59c1,104$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.321,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Colorado Rockies41c1,080$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.0120647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Chicago Cubs70c1,035$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.52060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Chicago Cubs61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6103655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Colorado Rockies38c978.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.9771253.4%380 W · 332 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Colorado Rockies47c930.68$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6179147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies46c923.11$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.011,52059.1%899 W · 621 L+78.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Chicago Cubs66c909.55$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcd82…9f66backed Chicago Cubs33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015937.7%60 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies40c818$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.694,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago Cubs70c812.71$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.2571850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Colorado Rockies42c806.84$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.7362043.1%267 W · 353 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Chicago Cubs62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Chicago Cubs62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago Cubs62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies40c799.99$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841,41843.4%616 W · 802 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Chicago Cubs58c748$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.4315840.5%64 W · 94 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs61c668.63$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.139,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies38c604.1$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.96,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b7…c98fbacked Chicago Cubs37c581.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.393941%16 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Chicago Cubs50c550$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2751838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Chicago Cubs62c547.77$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2629354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Chicago Cubs56c529.42$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.8688046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs61c522$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.481,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago Cubs55c515.71$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6454815.9%87 W · 461 L-41.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Chicago Cubs35c514.29$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18034751%177 W · 170 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Colorado Rockies33c506.76$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5379555.6%442 W · 353 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Colorado Rockies29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35536729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Chicago Cubs60c499.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9928258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Chicago Cubs61c496$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.563253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Colorado Rockies40c485$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2918339.8%33 W · 50 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Chicago Cubs62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Chicago Cubs58c470$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.671044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Colorado Rockies41c464.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27418648.9%91 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd991…faeabacked Colorado Rockies39c456.92$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9240449.3%199 W · 205 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies40c440$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.21,32644%583 W · 743 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e2…3ceabacked Chicago Cubs60c426.67$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25611751.3%60 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Colorado Rockies38c420$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.443253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Cubs61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.22,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Colorado Rockies40c416.03$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.0351646.9%242 W · 274 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Chicago Cubs62c410.8$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4336250.3%182 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies58c408.08$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.578,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Chicago Cubs59c406.6$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9366648.2%321 W · 345 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Chicago Cubs62c405.22$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Chicago Cubs58c404.9$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.791,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Colorado Rockies79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3653261.8%329 W · 203 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.