MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x079b559dc6ed71657056395ee7fcb3934bf7bba1bc0b8ed3bfd73a7996d3df0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 120,000$58,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,799.91 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 38,436$19,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,833.44 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 31,038$15,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,174.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 17,106$8,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,349.85 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 51c | 16,400$8,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,036 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,192$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,164$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.19 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 32c | 1,898$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,800$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 43c | 1,404$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.71 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 972.06$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.03 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 970.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.76 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 968.3$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.15 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Under | 55c | 901.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.81 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 818.48$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 749.49$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.09 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 57c | 703.6$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.55 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 53c | 508.37$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.93 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 504$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 45c | 474.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 55c | 439.2$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 406.99$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 50c | 396.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 50c | 396.9$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 45c | 266.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Under | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 51c | 182.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…e7aabacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…381abacked Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 48c | 170.52$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 51c | 135.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Over | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 119 | 48.7%58 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 45c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 55c | 81.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Under | 56c | 69.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 67.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 54.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55b…b29abacked Under | 55c | 49.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 45c | 43.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…4567backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 25c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 41.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 209 | 62.7%131 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Under | 56c | 35.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d92…0aaabacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…21f5backed Under | 51c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 80c | 24.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…82fcbacked Under | 51c | 24.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Under | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…2dadbacked Over | 50c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…c092backed Over | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.