TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe524…4760

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT5030%15 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.67
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+433.3%+$334.48
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+677.2%+$101.59
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$151.2
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+149.6%+$41.88
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$27.63
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$4.79
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.47
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$11.41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.79
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+176%+$33.45
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+83.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.2%+$20.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+229.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.