Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0737f9ebf42a6e13ad06f8336c66be3443061eaa5b5b605164d40b4033dc9bba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 90,988$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc098…cd90backed Yes | 52c | 22,954$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed No | 34c | 9,026$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,997.22 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 8c | 7,829$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.34 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…085abacked Yes | 2c | 5,825$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…be02backed Yes | 9c | 5,675$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 9c | 5,385$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.64 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked No | 31c | 4,530$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.97 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes | 9c | 4,045$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.56 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed Yes | 12c | 3,652$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…a481backed Yes | 15c | 3,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,033$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.97 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 10c | 2,559$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,461$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 2,097$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 9c | 2,057$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed No | 54c | 2,013$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.98 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,772$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…0598backed Yes | 14c | 1,424$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 9c | 1,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…3271backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…5bb2backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,063$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 9c | 1,054$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…3436backed Yes | 10c | 1,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,039$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 9c | 1,003$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 9c | 999.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ac14backed Yes | 12c | 952.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 910$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 9c | 819.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.72 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa622…4448backed Yes | 12c | 802.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 113 | 25.7%29 W · 84 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 8c | 762.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…039bbacked Yes | 5c | 755.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 12.3%9 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…82d1backed Yes | 3c | 691.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 251 | 27.1%68 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 9c | 677.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 9c | 638.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…bdbabacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 8c | 619.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 616.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…49f1backed Yes | 7c | 608.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 11c | 603.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed No | 31c | 585.72$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.05 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ed…0cfabacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…f562backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 9c | 522.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 8c | 500.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…4bc8backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Yes | 9c | 490$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 11c | 460.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…54efbacked Yes | 8c | 446$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…307ebacked Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…1d90backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 56c | 430$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…cf60backed Yes | 9c | 428.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 12c | 420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 9c | 411.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 11c | 406.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…b59ebacked Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 7c | 390.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 204 | 32.8%67 W · 137 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 361.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…5cc7backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…b81abacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…c02fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3884…8049backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…55d1backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc27…e6c1backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ff…b050backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d9…706cbacked Yes | 10c | 327.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…f53abacked Yes | 9c | 321.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604c…3160backed Yes | 9c | 321.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 11c | 314.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.