Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bafc564ca73e47e7c67ffdb633340e011627dd40c82ae1748ff2a79c4e6a701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $352,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $352,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 74,991$5,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 7c | 14,800$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…be02backed Yes | 7c | 11,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 5c | 9,180$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.79 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 8c | 6,455$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 6c | 5,100$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,952$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…fd23backed Yes | 7c | 4,286$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 7c | 4,271$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.97 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 5c | 3,947$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 278 | 11.9%33 W · 245 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 2,054$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…ac9bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…3186backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,936$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd81…3874backed Yes | 6c | 1,906$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 121 | 27.3%33 W · 88 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…0c42backed Yes | 7c | 1,814$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 7c | 1,814$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 11c | 1,744$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…3d56backed Yes | 9c | 1,615$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 6c | 1,503$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,448$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 12.6%16 W · 111 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,272$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 8c | 1,224$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…0145backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…908bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…9b1fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,074$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 7c | 1,064$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…5ccebacked Yes | 4c | 1,030$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 5c | 1,023$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 1,015$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…c20ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 113 | 7.1%8 W · 105 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 7c | 985.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 7c | 971.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 6c | 971.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 7c | 951.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 10c | 790$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 7c | 785.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…432fbacked Yes | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 7c | 738.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323a…876fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…87efbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…f562backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…7a0cbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 7c | 665.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 5c | 642$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 270 | 34.4%93 W · 177 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Yes | 7c | 630$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502c…5ac1backed Yes | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 7c | 614.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 581.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 13%13 W · 87 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5797…8636backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8df…1d90backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaa…f79cbacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…1eb3backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 5c | 566.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 526.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 5c | 526.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…d35fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 319 | 20.1%64 W · 255 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…868cbacked Yes | 5c | 493$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes | 8c | 468.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Yes | 7c | 457.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…7166backed Yes | 7c | 455.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 7c | 453.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Yes | 8c | 448.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.