TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,689 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9793…789cbacked Yes2c95,181$1,465 inLost-$1,464.82306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c38,359$563 inLost-$563.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ced…d59fbacked Yes1c16,630$200 inLost-$200.38229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes1c10,000$130 inLost-$13038817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18a…7c09backed Yes1c4,701$66 inLost-$65.957810.5%4 W · 777 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes2c4,460$75 inLost-$7529018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…50c2backed Yes1c4,000$46 inLost-$45.9318918.5%35 W · 154 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes1c3,700$44 inLost-$44.430214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Yes1c3,333$37 inLost-$36.667617.1%13 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes2c3,330$50 inLost-$49.9535110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes2c3,066$46 inLost-$462187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes1c2,459$25 inLost-$24.581756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes1c2,337$20 inLost-$2035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes1c2,289$19 inLost-$18.6440515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes1c2,143$30 inLost-$307913.9%11 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes2c1,765$30 inLost-$3017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf81…2e35backed Yes1c1,667$20 inLost-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+136.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d3a…d724backed Yes1c1,667$20 inLost-$2021227.8%59 W · 153 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes1c1,458$18 inLost-$18.22799.7%27 W · 252 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes1c1,250$15 inLost-$1530011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…c581backed Yes1c1,250$15 inLost-$15140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes1c1,200$15 inLost-$14.7498.2%4 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-60.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddd…39eebacked Yes2c1,176$20 inLost-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes1c1,083$13 inLost-$1349426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…74d7backed Yes1c1,000$12 inLost-$126432.8%21 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+100.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked Yes1c977.98$11 inLost-$113246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.