Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ad2bc3276780a01e6f6dffcc00146fa10ef1db62e21359fee7962fdf1bd918a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $245,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 22,314$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Yes | 3c | 9,364$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 3c | 7,600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…be02backed Yes | 3c | 6,449$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,233$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 3c | 5,319$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 3c | 4,733$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…fd23backed Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,953$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 3c | 2,070$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,048$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…ab99backed Yes | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…87efbacked Yes | 3c | 1,786$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…4ae4backed Yes | 3c | 1,763$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae8…c2cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 3c | 1,719$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a0…aee2backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,563$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d2…7a0cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,475$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 3c | 1,465$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…7e42backed Yes | 3c | 1,390$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319a…039bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,381$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 12.3%9 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,380$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 3c | 1,332$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Yes | 3c | 1,207$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6e60backed Yes | 3c | 1,167$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 3c | 1,050$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…33d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…39eebacked Yes | 3c | 1,034$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…1cacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +70%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…caf9backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 3c | 996.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 3c | 937.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 833$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 3c | 825.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 2c | 744.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61de…ed31backed Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…085abacked Yes | 3c | 688.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 2c | 666.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…caddbacked Yes | 3c | 663.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…7b80backed Yes | 2c | 641.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…e0aabacked Yes | 3c | 641.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Yes | 3c | 641.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 3c | 616.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 601.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ed31backed Yes | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4961…5cc7backed Yes | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes | 3c | 535.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 300 | 11.3%34 W · 266 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 3c | 517.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…14c3backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 3c | 488.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 431$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 3c | 413.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…beb7backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a48ebacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…438cbacked Yes | 3c | 357.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 29.6%40 W · 95 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Austria?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?Yes won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?No won
- Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.