TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,234

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,342 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes35c27,416$9,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7228,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No51c17,870$9,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,826.4330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No67c13,254$8,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,343.1636939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes26c9,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,33022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No31c7,153$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.312,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x442f…e7a2backed Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75011038.2%42 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Yes3c4,233$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12722643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc52f…8d35backed Yes2c4,049$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.992744.4%12 W · 15 L+7.8wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+153.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes25c3,698$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.624320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49017636.4%64 W · 112 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c3,097$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.572,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf8…e08ebacked Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No14c2,941$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.4141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes21c2,696$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.131,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes37c2,473$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.7951032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes43c2,348$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9333843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes15c2,200$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No44c2,124$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.1439644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5172…f07fbacked Yes22c1,757$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c1,735$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes40c1,732$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f7…5581backed Yes14c1,689$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.714746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No48c1,614$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.0822226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Yes1c1,610$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes15c1,609$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4229017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes15c1,400$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2106729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes15c1,336$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008026.3%21 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Yes15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes43c1,178$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.4451228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No74c1,099$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9421749.8%108 W · 109 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No14c1,066$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.7638960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes18c1,063$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes37c1,051$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.371,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes16c1,010$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3815144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad10…b35cbacked Yes14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403426.5%9 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+114.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes15c999.99$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14541429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No13c949.73$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.262,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Yes8c899.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9c…2aeebacked Yes15c833.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255529.1%16 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes15c826.49$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0553920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c815.35$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.193,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes15c800$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes14c785.71$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7a…b077backed Yes17c770$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.93330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes15c740$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes13c730.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0138817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed No14c716.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.253562.9%22 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes14c714.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.124626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb605…d39cbacked Yes73c713.52$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-63.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc984…5051backed Yes71c704.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Yes14c699.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992119%4 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Yes31c699.44$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0323637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No42c696.42$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.092,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes61c696$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.261,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5df…63cfbacked Yes21c687.72$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.191833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1942…9a54backed Yes6c682.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-61%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014946.3%69 W · 80 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes78c641.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes65c604.18$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908225.6%21 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No55c585.96$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8723750.6%120 W · 117 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfde…fa1bbacked No15c579.72$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.762313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick13cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes13c574.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7138526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes26c556.26$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7244524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Yes26c551.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes47c529.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011828.8%34 W · 84 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Yes3c528.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7421349.8%106 W · 107 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked Yes45c515.43$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.9424146.1%111 W · 130 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes19c514.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.842536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014523.4%34 W · 111 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes67c495.77$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.291,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes26c493.77$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3811826.3%31 W · 87 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes14c483.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3292038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed No75c461.61$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.45543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaf…8a0abacked Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c4…7b1ebacked Yes66c448.65$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.112433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7881…0ab3backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Yes53c420.19$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8915341.8%64 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5005…23febacked Yes3c403.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fe…58debacked Yes50c402.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.083748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No18c383.36$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes14c380$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.227637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7348backed Yes71c379.46$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.211942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8b…645cbacked Yes15c366.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524440.2%98 W · 146 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No29c358.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.321,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked No28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.148742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb241…902cbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507223.6%17 W · 55 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes17c355.92$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed Yes14c344.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.256425%16 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa286…b3babacked Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505334%18 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae68…de08backed Yes15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012416.1%20 W · 104 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes14c323.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021250.9%108 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.