TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5005…23fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Movies, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$93.68
Ghana to score first vs. Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Portugal leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick3cpaid+621.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Columbus Crew leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+4,821.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+4,821.4%+$674.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,233.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Stray Team vs Travoman Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffsbacked Travoman Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+3,233.4%+$452.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: West Bromwich Albion FC O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Rosenqvist win the 2026 Indianapolis 500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.