Fifa International · resolved market
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7035f0f1a81ef0ab173954baf2bf4fe0897de1a87bc51b354013bcac18010bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 32,407$21,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,719.31 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 13,976$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,994.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 36c | 5,071$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.68 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes | 37c | 3,677$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.66 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 3,004$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 2,803$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.02 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 38c | 2,648$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.93 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 2,565$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe03…e392backed Yes | 7c | 2,183$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.01 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,876$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.4 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 1,509$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.33 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 34c | 1,503$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 35c | 1,334$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.08 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 4c | 1,233$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 35c | 1,173$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.1 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,173$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.82 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 34c | 1,048$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.51 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,024$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.44 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 8c | 910$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.5 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 65c | 789.14$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.77 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 2c | 770.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.14 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…6129backed Yes | 5c | 702.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 6c | 616.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.67 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 35c | 594.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.69 | 210 | 48.6%102 W · 108 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 35c | 594.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.61 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…18babacked Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.43 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 558.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 512.23$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d7b8backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Yes | 35c | 365.71$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.71 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…3992backed Yes | 35c | 314.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 10c | 312.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…fa96backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 12c | 288$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…21d3backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked Yes | 35c | 278.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b82…2291backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 10c | 270$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 23c | 267.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…fba4backed No | 65c | 259.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…2928backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 35c | 208.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…f073backed Yes | 36c | 191.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 30c | 186$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 179.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.75 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 45c | 177.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…2a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 171.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.41 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 150.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked No | 9c | 147.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80aa…e8eabacked No | 14c | 144.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 37c | 143.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 9c | 143.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…29d9backed No | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a8…2d05backed Yes | 36c | 139$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…ba6dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…00f9backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 36c | 138$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 131.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 16c | 120.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc650…b5bbbacked Yes | 35c | 102.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…2834backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…a61cbacked Yes | 11c | 91.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…700fbacked No | 15c | 90.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 36c | 82.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…1dcfbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 47c | 74.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 19c | 73.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…4a17backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 231 | 24.7%57 W · 174 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 65c | 62.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…573abacked Yes | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…db8cbacked Yes | 24c | 61.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 35c | 59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…7813backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 71c | 53.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 30c | 46.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?this page
- DR Congo leading at halftime?No won
- Portugal leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.