TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb135…b9fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
296
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT24233.5%81 W · 161 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.55
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$899Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+505.1%+$4,543.51
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36%+$16.27
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.17
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.4
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$47.13
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$431.63
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$830
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.44
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$44.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.33
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$12.9
Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Norway to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$50.02
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.89
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$360
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+146.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+138.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+200.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+304.3%+$284.51
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$182.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+132.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.08
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$251.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.07
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$123.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$270
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.