Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf89a21f6ead6fde33cabffb979db66466cc67b5c21309b0698db26f1f91ef193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 34c | 11,592$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.59 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 39c | 11,402$4,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,406.19 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes | 37c | 8,326$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 7,285$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.7 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 5,974$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.13 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 14c | 5,629$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 63c | 5,195$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.87 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 5,069$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.62 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 62c | 3,676$2,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.73 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Yes | 32c | 3,112$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 35c | 2,973$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.13 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 32c | 2,135$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 55c | 2,030$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.69 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 66c | 1,828$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.25 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 1,236$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 13c | 1,200$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.07 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 64c | 1,192$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.35 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed No | 66c | 1,136$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 954.2$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.19 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 831.88$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 39c | 793.85$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.25 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 63c | 793$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 768.29$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 740.24$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 735$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 40c | 722.58$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.18 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 23c | 691$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Yes | 36c | 675$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 66c | 663.19$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 56c | 650.34$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.39 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 61c | 644.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 56c | 624.63$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 33c | 525$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 509.02$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 60c | 486.61$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed No | 60c | 469.77$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.91 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 72c | 465$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 458.46$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 41c | 453.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Yes | 32c | 447.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 45c | 447$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 57c | 429.15$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.61 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 79c | 421.79$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 60c | 412$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 61c | 409.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.51 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 74c | 396.85$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.31 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 36c | 388.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 43c | 370.37$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 56c | 342.41$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.66 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Yes | 5c | 338$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 77c | 334.17$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes | 9c | 331.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 69c | 314.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 36c | 313$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 62c | 312.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 305.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed No | 67c | 302$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed No | 62c | 292.78$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes | 17c | 275$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 32c | 269$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 64c | 268.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…b50ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 44c | 231$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Yes | 38c | 230.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 45c | 222.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 68c | 215.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 34c | 212$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 36c | 211.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 45c | 209$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 206.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 203.59$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 67.5%85 W · 41 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 35c | 197.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 70c | 197.34$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 64c | 195.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed No | 43c | 191$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 20c | 180.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 62c | 170.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 168.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Yes | 42c | 164.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 46c | 159$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 68c | 157.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.