TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,690

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No75c21,333$15,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,344.7653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c12,031$8,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,901.7298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes24c9,995$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,379.631,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c8,235$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862.781,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes23c5,448$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.8473438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c3,791$2,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.2672850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes24c3,630$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.439726.8%26 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes70c3,419$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes51c2,800$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.351931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No64c2,737$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.9617137.4%64 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes40c2,541$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.4510273.5%75 W · 27 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c2,440$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.7970249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes23c2,253$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.1197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes23c2,167$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.3321547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes23c2,155$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.7768150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c2,081$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.981,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c1,606$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.983,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed No78c1,571$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c1,317$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.361,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes13c1,231$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3822841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes22c1,088$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3517244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes25c1,062$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+68.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c998.77$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes23c930.18$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c885.44$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1999340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes17c839.52$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes42c714.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9915458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No47c707.06$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.8211633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No78c695$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.257974.7%59 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd8d4…ee54backed No50c686.5$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No78c657$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7891553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No38c555.33$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.613228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No77c548.28$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.117858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11514062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes24c449.74$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7219642.9%84 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes22c442.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2914652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c386.57$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7710042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes23c313.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1337649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes23c307.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.616657.2%95 W · 71 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes22c293.68$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4517753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes59c288.3$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.235247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes20c276.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3352639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked No64c270$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.091450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes23c256$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8827047%127 W · 143 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc0…d34dbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked No76c208$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes38c206$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1816856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes62c203.81$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f8…b109backed No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick70cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No68c196$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed No52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes23c184.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.551,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No67c182$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5720252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c180.5$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6230735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No66c172$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.766563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbffd…2af5backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes26c164.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.971040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c155$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No71c152.64$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.919540%38 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No58c149.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.727344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No78c146.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes23c145$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9747240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d4…aa98backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9288…4678backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Yes52c128.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-62.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes23c128.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No58c125.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5223953.6%128 W · 111 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No70c125$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.66055%33 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No77c107.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6713259.1%78 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes23c104.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246250%31 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes24c102.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.679345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf8…641ebacked Yes12c102.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442356.5%13 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No71c96.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.73161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No58c95.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9619847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes24c88.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.124231%13 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed No35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No77c83.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8380358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c78.31$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4680249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No66c76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8414549.7%72 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193426.5%9 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a74…4af8backed No76c69$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes31c68.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2412058.3%70 W · 50 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5c…2ba2backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No62c59.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2231446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cee…c08ebacked Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes23c54.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8419172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x1ac9…0423backed No78c51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.