TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d68…9ff7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$208.48
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$113.65
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$29.37
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$166.08
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$228.97
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$996.98
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,373Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$2,890.07
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.13
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.12
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$223.41
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.85
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.07
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,000
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,691Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$5,995.01
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$25,018.61
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,441.18
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,571.43
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$423.75
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Floriana FC vs. FC Drita end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$15.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.