Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Floriana FC vs. FC Drita end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d496ec0aa9d1d9c91dba2bdb8ba8631b9652281a8ead3acac1f64ddf1f96c41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 33c | 7,500$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.7 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 2,341$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 27c | 1,857$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.89 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 21c | 1,736$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.34 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 6c | 1,531$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 63c | 1,490$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.8 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,433$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.23 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 73c | 1,307$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.08 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked No | 3c | 808.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 73c | 705.48$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 692.21$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.83 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 613.11$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.65 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 597.22$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.51 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 504.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 482.45$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.76 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8d7abacked No | 12c | 460.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 76c | 394.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 382.78$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed No | 74c | 231.08$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 227.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.69 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 42c | 226.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 50c | 225.57$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 11c | 216$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 78c | 201.18$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 11c | 182.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 178.48$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 9c | 165.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 147.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 136.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Yes | 27c | 117.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 74c | 99.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 98.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 93.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 72c | 92.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 24c | 88.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.07 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 75c | 86.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…2011backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 74c | 75.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 21c | 65.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 32c | 59.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed No | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 56.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 80c | 51.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 48.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 66c | 42.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 55c | 41.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked No | 76c | 39.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 66c | 38.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 66c | 37.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 29c | 35.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 76c | 35.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 74c | 24.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 76c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Floriana FC vs. FC Drita end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-21?No won
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.