Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6978974c55fdf66064ab4b3bae27dd9bc0f6d3cc430b5ced5caf643d2837fc62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 29c | 3,729$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.54 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 73c | 3,500$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,873$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,544$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.19 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 2,268$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.41 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 2,175$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 30c | 1,803$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.77 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 30c | 1,803$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.77 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Yes | 28c | 1,305$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 28c | 1,206$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.69 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed No | 70c | 1,030$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 991.05$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.73 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 933.54$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 717.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 601.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yes | 27c | 383.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 374.84$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 351.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 345.66$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Yes | 28c | 331.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 79c | 288.06$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 287.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 71c | 270.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 269.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 76c | 261.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 79c | 219$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked No | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 29c | 131.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 73c | 127.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes | 25c | 124.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 22c | 106$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…a93dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…573abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 29c | 91.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 22c | 87.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 23c | 84.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 74.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 72c | 73.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0f…6906backed Yes | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 28c | 65.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed No | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 60.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 22c | 56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 76c | 39.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 77cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 35.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1d97backed Yes | 63c | 31.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 72c | 30.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 30.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed No | 77c | 29.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 71c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 76c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-21?No won
- Will Floriana FC vs. FC Drita end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.