TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a77…573a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$55.29
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$39
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71.49
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$39.5
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Panama win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Romania win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will British Virgin Islands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kenya win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+31.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+194.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$37.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+157.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+414.2%+$42.34
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.