TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$278,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes22c55,313$12,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,441.415538.2%21 W · 34 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes16c36,331$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.429021.1%19 W · 71 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick11cpaid+71.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c21,230$16,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.72,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1680…490dbacked Yes20c18,710$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes10c14,638$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.851,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No80c10,669$8,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.913,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes18c10,506$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.724136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes12c10,493$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.812,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Yes4c5,489$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes9c5,300$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes27c4,308$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.4629654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa894…2830backed Yes26c3,366$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No74c3,299$2,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.1719250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c2,957$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.737446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes38c2,515$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.7627039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No64c2,390$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.3310463.5%66 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No77c2,330$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8935944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes20c1,782$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.912868%87 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes10c1,681$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No75c1,630$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.8781440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes16c1,366$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9814931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbebc…7d29backed Yes17c1,307$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502650%13 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes13c1,137$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0435146.2%162 W · 189 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No66c992.99$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.621010%1 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick54cpaid-84.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes10c761.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.061,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No62c701.09$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0244156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No80c610.99$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No77c602.32$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4416045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes23c574.03$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked No77c507$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.612748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes22c500$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6723461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked No78c468.4$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.054459.1%26 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes14c465.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0220244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2284…b334backed Yes18c396.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked No63c379.69$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No61c376.18$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes10c373.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.827644.9%124 W · 152 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No80c367.13$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0238952.7%205 W · 184 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes13c361.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.98458.9%4 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No79c322.22$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.46854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x055a…b4f2backed Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes36c264.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.231,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked Yes23c234.18$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes36c218.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9456849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No80c218$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4513467.9%91 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No78c215.54$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4213666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No78c206.9$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9358061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No78c190.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed No80c190$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc401…ce26backed Yes22c186.59$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No78c181.25$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.757954.4%43 W · 36 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes39c154.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No78c142.3$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5223950.2%120 W · 119 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No79c136.51$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.994168.3%28 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc89…e4d0backed Yes38c135.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2174…aa5dbacked Yes22c134.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cb…4128backed Yes22c129.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c126.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a7…7042backed No76c119.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.39923.2%23 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012633.3%42 W · 84 L-21.7wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3869448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a77…573abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes40c84.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7512548%60 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c81.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7216940.2%68 W · 101 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No77c73.02$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.725839.7%23 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No62c67.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No64c67.16$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.432560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No71c67.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.33250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes38c64.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4518252.7%96 W · 86 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2447649.4%235 W · 241 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No76c56.54$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6418244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…b08bbacked No78c56.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c55$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3538047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No76c52.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.387269.4%50 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No75c50.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.513164.5%20 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes36c39.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1374155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No79c39.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes40c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613547.4%64 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No63c35.8$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.254344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No61c34.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2718056.7%102 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No63c28.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.641861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x677d…4907backed Yes36c27.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No75c25.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.259257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x249a…ef6abacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No61c21.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.566330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No79c20.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.383560%21 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked No65c19.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.657356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.