Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OFI win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e1aa77e58ec924dee12e1c4a55226cc86e59cf59e17a636e880ff2defe8997f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 10c | 29,145$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.39 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 47c | 9,505$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,433.15 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 57c | 2,221$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.13 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 2,188$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.77 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 33c | 1,477$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.44 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 59c | 1,098$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.91 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 32c | 730.02$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 676.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 660.01$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.78 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 39c | 602.22$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 527.76$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.66 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 40c | 507$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.42 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 501.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 34c | 499.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.64 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 36c | 358.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 294.25$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.58 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 222.72$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 31c | 212$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 30c | 206.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 204.98$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 40c | 190$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 70c | 187.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 172$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 30c | 150.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 113$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.84 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 34c | 111$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 37c | 108.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 37c | 104.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 62c | 104.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 46c | 103$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 34c | 95.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 38c | 95.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 89.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 83.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 50c | 81.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 56.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 20c | 54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 40c | 52.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 68c | 52.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 41c | 47.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 67c | 45.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…3650backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked No | 51c | 35.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 37c | 32.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 66c | 26.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 21.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 20.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 67c | 16.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OFI win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?No won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.