Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0808c844553be5667e4f9af4ec8ed1e33957d9254229e67dbb25697902eb1cee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,594$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414f…2f42backed Yes | 31c | 1,089$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 71c | 776.36$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…f5dabacked Yes | 18c | 771.64$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 80c | 602.34$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 19c | 525.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed No | 71c | 507.04$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 80c | 507$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 76c | 414.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 223.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 5c | 204.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 24c | 194.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 190.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 155.63$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 142$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 24c | 122.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 117$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 76c | 77.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 78c | 52.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 48.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 78c | 44.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…0296backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 78c | 20.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?this page
- Will OFI win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
- Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.