TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5a5…6f1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$82.8
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Cornerbacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.32
Julián Álvarez: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$131.22
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.52
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.8
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$307.52
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.62
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$54.93
France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.95
Norway to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.98
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.99
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$417.48
Mexico vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$105.05
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$448
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$386.65
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$146.88
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.14
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.32
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.2
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.15
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.88
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$240.5
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12.24
LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.93
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.28
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs 7REX (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$79.54
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.52
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$52.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.06
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$41.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$33.57
Will OFI win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Will FC Midtjylland vs. HNK Rijeka end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.41
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
Will PAOK vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$58.92
Will SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.23
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$160.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.46per pick57cpaid-78.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffsbacked Arashi GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Valorant: Cloud9 vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.33
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Evil Geniuses GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.78
Valorant: Twisted Minds Orchid vs SK Nebula (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsbacked SK Nebula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.27
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.77
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.3
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$601Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$417.38
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$206.35
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$75.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-2.5)backed Al Ettifaq Saudi Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tennessee beat Oklahoma by 7 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military response against Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$37.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.