Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb762a5f6b5e7fea2430a52bae4a52684c34e010d734979ceb78fdb3327366ebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 29c | 5,173$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 2,500$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.94 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 2,242$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,108$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.92 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 75c | 1,731$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.34 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 24c | 1,375$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.42 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,329$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 20c | 1,300$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,200$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.24 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…e1cfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 974$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.28 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 917.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.92 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 697.79$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 526$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 398.26$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 77c | 286.71$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 77c | 262.36$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…50cbbacked Yes | 23c | 259.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 76c | 209.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…6ce4backed Yes | 23c | 202$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 78c | 166$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 24c | 141.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…fe5ebacked No | 78c | 112$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 23c | 101.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8953…9b78backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 71c | 95.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 76c | 90.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed No | 76c | 75.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 24c | 67.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Yes | 23c | 67.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Yes | 24c | 55.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 75c | 46.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 46.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 80 | 70%56 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18cd…b710backed No | 77c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú end in a draw?this page
- Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05?Yes won
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.