TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94fb…ab54

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)backed CA Tucumán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.95
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.19
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$48.28
Deportivo Toluca FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Club Necaxa leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.42
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.05
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Club Necaxa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.34
Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.52
CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+358.8%+$380.95
CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$50.49
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.41
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.3
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.68
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.63
CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
All 24 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+154%+$27.59
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.47
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.09
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.77
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$14.34
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.16
Will Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$64.92
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.18
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$42.12
Aalesunds FK vs. Tromsø IL: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$126.32
AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
AIK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.98
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$15.6
IF Brommapojkarna vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.76
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Bielsko Biala: Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Wojciech Marekbacked Wojciech Marek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+27%+$3.72
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Yanaki Milev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.37
National Bank Open: Diane Parry vs Kayla Daybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$125.13
Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Julia Avdeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.69
National Bank Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.23
The Memphis Classic: Kristina Liutova vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Darja Vidmanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.35
ITF Huamantla: Mika Buchnik vs Marianne Angel Gonzalezbacked Mika Buchnik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.68
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$163.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$143.07
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+73.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$12.99
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.51
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Firebacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Brann vs. Apóllon Lemesoú end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.