South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293cdaa9fb22f6bbdc0cd1c3f27e5d7602374190a04977aa99988674ed07de08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 42c | 5,030$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,844$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 1,101$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed Yes | 62c | 1,014$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 58c | 807.42$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.05 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 41c | 708.68$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.56 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 41c | 509.91$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.33 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 58c | 278.92$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 58c | 239.01$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 44c | 216.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 38c | 199.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed No | 57c | 183.07$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed No | 57c | 171$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 55c | 162.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 53c | 151.8$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes | 41c | 110.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 54c | 110.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 53c | 101.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 53c | 101.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 59c | 100.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 26c | 99.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 60c | 72.18$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 43c | 62.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 53.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 60c | 47.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed No | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 30.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 61c | 29.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 59c | 24.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed No | 52c | 19.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 57c | 19.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: CA River Plate O/U 0.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Rosario Central O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Rosario Central O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.