TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c12,474$8,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.48,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Over32c9,394$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c7,238$5,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.092,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over35c5,950$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.5234747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over35c5,143$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c4,888$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.481,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over9c3,046$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.431612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over37c3,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11018543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under64c2,900$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0331,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under73c2,019$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.115,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70024855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under65c1,179$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.612025%5 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under66c702.05$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2146449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under66c625.93$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.0433152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over35c548.92$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.866349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under63c532.24$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.932,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1856253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under65c384$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under65c349.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1155946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over61c327.32$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under70c305.79$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9912850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under55c293.69$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1253836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under61c166.15$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.855250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under60c165$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0372058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under64c150.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.175457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over61c149.78$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7989846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over53c125.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.546827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under63c119.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0475240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.066665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Over39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.955944.1%26 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under41c100.78$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4613856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under39c97.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.521,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over50c95.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over41c95.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.821,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fd2…afcebacked Under51c83.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over31c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under63c79.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed Under65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under65c74.97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4426465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under63c74.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.473,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under63c72.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Under64c71.31$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6714149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…ab54backed Over40c69.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.722420.8%5 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-53.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Over38c68.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.193240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under64c67.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under65c61.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.556561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+66%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under63c60.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1310458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…002fbacked Over28c58.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.423441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under67c50.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5533365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Under66c49.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.716768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under65c49.02$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1640451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over32c46.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked Under65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under41c45.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Under61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.981060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9864633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under66c40.64$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8119164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.741262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under64c39.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.062962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over43c38.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6816845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.234456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under68c34.51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.214372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over44c34.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.083151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over61c33.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c31.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.911,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78fb…56bcbacked Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+31.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under65c30.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.512944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.514359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under60c29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5618446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bc…dd5cbacked Under69c15.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.