TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,068 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Over16c4,237$688 inLost-$688.3434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over15c2,475$382 inLost-$381.851,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over16c1,800$288 inLost-$287.991612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over16c501.75$80 inLost-$80.2819135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c262.39$42 inLost-$41.985,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over17c251.58$42 inLost-$41.7719711.2%22 W · 175 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Over17c179.01$30 inLost-$30.433240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over15c107.73$16 inLost-$15.862913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over15c89.4$13 inLost-$13.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c87.37$16 inLost-$15.7357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over15c79.32$12 inLost-$11.91,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Over18c62.31$11 inLost-$116426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under78c40$31 inWon+$8.823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f4…12dabacked Under77c28$22 inWon+$6.444358.1%25 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.