TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c12,569$5,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,380.588,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over2c9,286$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.714626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over62c4,792$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.0434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c2,770$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.571,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c2,555$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c2,044$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.752,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Over60c1,580$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over23c1,477$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.661,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under76c1,464$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.3482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over73c810.65$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.776250%31 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c686.87$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.861,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under42c623.14$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5133152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under65c493.11$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8329037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c464.57$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.153,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under43c452.28$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.1546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under44c420.9$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under40c356.27$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5555250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9a2…42f2backed Over42c315.21$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.930%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Over14c305.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.979026.7%24 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under40c305$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18312850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over64c300$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1929651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under45c289.23$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Over55c273.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c265.19$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over38c263.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under38c258.33$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1755946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under62c258.29$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1519155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Over61c254.54$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over36c249.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under77c241.76$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.311,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over62c239.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under40c233$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2672058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.278755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under39c220.59$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.566349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over7c215.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.056827.9%19 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over55c179.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9725147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under55c173.76$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1910766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over25c147$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.756744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over64c140.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1453836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed Over64c134.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.062352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Over21c131.94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.716955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under73c126.46$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5921752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under36c121.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over52c117.75$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under53c111.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.325457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over47c111.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3219447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under40c110.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.911143.2%48 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under63c98.55$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.645054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…0289backed Over75c96.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737467.6%50 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6b…7d19backed Over21c94.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Over48c84.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.493043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Under55c82.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.081764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under41c81.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under38c81.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3821044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under44c73.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0241262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under42c69.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.134372.1%31 W · 12 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8210…1942backed Over55c65.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under62c64.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5460156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under43c62.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7110458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under62c61.86$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Over59c60.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6430%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c51.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.081,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.286561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c49.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Under42c47.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.376768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4f…32e0backed Over39c45.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.722339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over61c44.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.456149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Over25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114037.5%15 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Over26c43.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.313246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Over45c40.34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under44c40.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5626465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under57c39.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over75c39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2518426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe249…a684backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under38c35.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8615651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Over59c33.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.996543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed Under61c33.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1815364.1%98 W · 55 L+14.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Under37c31.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.72556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd8…53c9backed Under37c30.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.932944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.518446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under68c29.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.749740.2%39 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over66c29.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under63c27.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4367548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under46c27.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.919164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeede…b29ebacked Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under66c20.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.862766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under62c20.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.696168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Over63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c19.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.616349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a97…90b1backed Over67c14.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.044252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.