TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x11f4…12da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7766.2%51 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$59.2
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$15.72
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$9.96
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$17.77
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.78
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.93
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$12.98
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$12.79
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$13.47
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30%+$9.01
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4358.1%25 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$3.95
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Banfield: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Recoleta FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CA Belgrano vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.44
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Racing Club vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$10.17
CA Belgrano vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Banfield: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$14
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Medellín: Independiente Medellín O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$9.27
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$5.14
CA Rosario Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.99
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$16.5
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.1
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+209.5%+$23.04
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$6.07
Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.74
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.75
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+34%+$6.79
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagebacked SwimTrek Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Valorant: G2 Gozen vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+28%+$9.16
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Karmine Corp GC - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$5.41
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$4.55
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.47
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$4.14
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.07
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.36
Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$10.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$8.84
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$4.09
Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Adam Waltonbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.78
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Jannik Sinner vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5backed Under 4.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$15.52
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Wimbledon ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Arthur Ferybacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$10.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.