South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0587d8346f185bee1a7c8f4b523e24d38827388f04b62dba9268e297560e8379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 20c | 8,905$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,102.19 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.5 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 74c | 6,046$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.06 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 21c | 5,206$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.04 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,703$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,530$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.15 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 67c | 1,748$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.89 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 68c | 1,654$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.72 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 19c | 1,252$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.97 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 3c | 1,159$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 33c | 1,101$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.59 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 21c | 1,030$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.26 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 856.09$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.88 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 66c | 847.88$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.71 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 68c | 572.81$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.51 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 63c | 484.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 316.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 78c | 241.02$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 186.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 78c | 178.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 78c | 177.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 79c | 156.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…e2eabacked Under | 62c | 155.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 79c | 150.37$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 76c | 120.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 110.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 21c | 108.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 68c | 107.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 77c | 102.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 96.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 37c | 92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 66c | 83.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 63c | 70.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 33c | 62.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 56.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 73c | 52.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 34c | 52.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 77c | 52.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 80c | 45.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…dc74backed Over | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 74c | 40.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 79c | 37.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 68c | 36.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 77c | 29.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Under | 66c | 28.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 73c | 26.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 77c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 66c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 65c | 21.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 79c | 18.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 78c | 18.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.