South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b8a203f86cb33714522b1bdb38f72e0c54ec6b274eb1e308d8c018b2e44b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 4,517$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Over | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 80c | 1,405$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 1,080$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 19c | 990.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 641.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 28c | 414.28$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…4e84backed Under | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 14c | 361.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 28c | 353.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 28c | 236.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 23c | 208.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 15c | 201.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 26c | 199.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 13c | 184.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 67c | 167.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 17c | 142.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 32c | 135.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 135.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Under | 9c | 134.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 67c | 124.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 35c | 116$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 70c | 115.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Over | 66c | 90.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 34c | 84.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 66c | 77.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 30c | 69.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 66c | 64.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 55.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 25c | 54.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 33c | 53.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 20c | 52.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 75c | 27.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Over | 74c | 22.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c6…7516backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 0.5this page
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.