South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13f265da03299ab99fb37d016456342efed6eafa633db202c6f2b359d2e339b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 14,593$7,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970.85 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 8,918$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,778.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 4,504$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.58 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 49c | 4,006$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.86 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.97 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 1c | 2,969$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 2,179$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.29 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 1,203$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.71 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 55c | 770.61$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.65 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 4c | 625$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 606.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 529$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.36 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 53c | 457.12$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 445.89$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.31 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 434.41$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.64 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 59c | 423.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 63c | 400$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.64 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 52c | 344.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 3c | 329.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 329.22$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 61c | 323$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.97 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 57c | 304.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 45c | 303.47$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Over | 32c | 265.62$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 228.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 181.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2390…a15fbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 53c | 167.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 55c | 167.14$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 51c | 143.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 39c | 138$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 52c | 133.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 52c | 128.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 61c | 88.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Under | 62c | 83.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 40c | 82.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 30c | 82.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 51c | 75.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 49c | 75.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…d47dbacked Under | 74c | 62.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 62c | 54.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 20 | 95%19 W · 1 L | +7.3wins | +0.36per pick | 59cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 59c | 52.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 59c | 49.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 59c | 44.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 48c | 44.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 33.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 55c | 33.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Under | 47c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 49c | 31.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 38c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 54c | 26.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 56c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 60c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 61c | 24.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 59c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.