TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,174

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,163 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Over70c1,814$1,269 inWon+$544.0721366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c1,425$427 inLost-$427.398,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Under51c163.85$84 inLost-$841533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under30c120$36 inLost-$3625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over66c111.2$73 inWon+$38.342,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under30c94.4$28 inLost-$28.3219040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0fc…097ebacked Under34c62.57$21 inLost-$21.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over48c59.84$29 inWon+$30.9511640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over45c50$23 inWon+$27.54281%34 W · 8 L+12.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+66.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under30c40.19$12 inLost-$12.0663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3711…2775backed Under30c33.4$10 inLost-$10.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over58c26.06$15 inWon+$11.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over70c19.47$14 inWon+$5.843363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.