South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e84107e5263e94da7a401275853277b34bbabd59d459239935188c16baf04e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 3,230$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.11 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 2,048$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.49 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 70c | 1,788$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.97 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,714$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.44 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 1,649$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.17 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 42c | 597.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.36 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 587$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 72c | 547.17$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 429.27$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 429.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 406.33$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 352$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 31c | 319.35$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 43c | 297$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.31 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 274.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.54 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 78c | 268.27$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 50c | 265.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 250.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 59c | 244.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 72c | 232.66$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.7 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 163.42$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…a0c2backed No | 69c | 159$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 153.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 152.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 142.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 7c | 141.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 41c | 137.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 29c | 109.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 94.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 42c | 92.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Yes | 19c | 90.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 25c | 85.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +212.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 84.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Yes | 43c | 83.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 76c | 78.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 73c | 59.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 54.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…e2eabacked No | 71c | 52.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 42c | 49.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 33c | 41.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 58c | 37.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 72c | 33.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 72c | 32.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 67c | 26.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 58c | 19.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 76c | 17.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 78c | 17.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 72c | 16.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 71c | 15.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 75c | 14.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Lanús O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: CA Unión O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Unión won
- Spread: CA Unión (-1.5)CA Lanús won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.