TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7eb…a668

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
147
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6872.1%49 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$16.12
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$20.86
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$12.08
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.01
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$14.09
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Argentina vs. Egypt: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$11
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+27%+$22.08
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+55%+$21.3
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$23.1
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$10.07
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.39
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.1
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$12.46
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.08
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.09
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$16.81
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$70.55
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.97
CA Rosario Central vs. Independiente del Valle: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.66
CA Talleres vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+37%+$4.44
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+68.1%+$16.2
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick70cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
AD Ceuta FC vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
UD Almería vs. Málaga CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$50.35
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will UD Almería win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$30.1
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.67
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+29%+$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.14
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.42
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.34
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$6.6
Birmingham City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$27.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick56cpaid-61.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$46.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.84
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+30.8%+$5.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.