TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes50c10,057$4,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,982.2631349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No57c9,950$5,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,275.225,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c4,591$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes15c3,497$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.231,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No15c2,979$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.8243618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No22c2,804$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.882948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes78c2,330$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.912,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No17c2,267$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+192.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes64c1,904$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.198447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes48c1,808$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.041030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No25c1,610$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.73633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No50c1,488$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.746355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Yes53c1,395$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.21050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes50c1,261$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.52951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d5…1a5bbacked No22c866.55$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.913630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes39c822.28$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.22433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes48c807.33$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.521520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f5…035cbacked Yes44c768.73$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No45c746.35$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.2447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No51c713.58$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7957157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Yes19c698.45$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+58.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No50c671.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No50c659.31$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.7865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Yes14c658.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No50c634.86$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4336757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No50c580.7$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6247756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes78c559.33$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.2811963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No50c556.29$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes22c526.94$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.31346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c510.34$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes78c499.95$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No16c465.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.11,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No46c427.28$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.823254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No17c414.21$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.8833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes54c411.91$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.4812545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No18c391.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.912,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes46c312.83$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.567951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Yes68c294.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c293.21$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5857540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked No51c285.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8813257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No41c272.6$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2617857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f46…98fcbacked No25c268.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+79.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes50c213.4$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes79c206.69$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb080…610dbacked No59c201.44$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes49c198.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.931315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-71.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes37c198.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5944843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe29b…da59backed No16c196.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.12742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No19c179.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.7955155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Yes48c177.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.141764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed No60c174.23$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.812646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No42c170.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0910564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x589d…b958backed No58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.591338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes77c157.29$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.123151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No30c155.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8312361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No18c150.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.448922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes79c143.14$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.61,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No21c136.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.519340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No24c131.84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.8163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked No49c130.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.484461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked No49c128.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.482576%19 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+44.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes62c128.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.298146.9%38 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes11c127.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-25.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes72c123$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.562864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca0b…3c12backed Yes75c119.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No37c116.04$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.31,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No20c115.47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.383844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No18c111.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3916160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No18c105.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5319056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes78c102.8$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.181,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed No14c101.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.394454.5%24 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes78c98.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.977862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes78c98.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Yes78c98.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.971526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.8wins-0.32per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd7eb…a668backed Yes78c98.68$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.971963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No23c95.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4451654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes51c92.2$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.936235.5%22 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No51c82.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3111763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No62c81.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8819955.8%111 W · 88 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf690…6936backed Yes49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Yes75c78.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.213658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes80c78.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.513,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Yes53c73.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8718145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c69.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked No43c68.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.423467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No22c66.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1529053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed No51c63.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9111553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc389…6b32backed Yes79c62.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.371330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda60…595cbacked Yes75c58.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.18246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa235…32eabacked Yes61c56.4$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked No49c54.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.742774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No35c49.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0694848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4850…ab3bbacked Yes70c49.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-65.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No22c48.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2210158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes50c48.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No21c47.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8812051.7%62 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed No50c46.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0512259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes47c45.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb155…9111backed No24c45.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.312095%19 W · 1 L+7.8wins+0.39per pick56cpaid+76.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.