TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e12…0ae4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT5543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oeiras 3: Suzan Lamens vs Robin Montgomerybacked Suzan Lamens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$872.14
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Leylah Fernandez vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,248.01
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Anna Bondar vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$457.93
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Samsonova (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$633.39
Set Handicap: Marozsan (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)backed Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.98
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$966.6
BMW Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$184.49
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Dominika Salkova vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$206.33
Wuning 2: Blake Ellis vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mikhail Kukushkin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.44
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Jelena Ostapenko vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,937Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$1,590.34
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs McNally (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.41
Oeiras 3: Valentin Royer vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+356%+$529.35
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$982.78
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.75
Sonmez vs. Paolini: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$319.6
Wuning 2: Jie Cui vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.04
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,651Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$1,533.08
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosabacked Eva Lys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$277.62
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+176.3%+$1,692.06
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.18
BMW Open: Marin Cilic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.2
Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)backed Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.91
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.12
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$188.97
Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.34
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,358.61
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.55
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$520.18
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.63
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.16
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$198.3
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.44
All 7 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$289.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.