TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x74d0…de45backed Under34c13,074$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.274540%18 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under45c10,034$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,513.545145.1%23 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over58c6,244$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.168345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over58c5,849$3,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.513630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Under42c5,580$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.461833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-47.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under42c5,566$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,320.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under42c4,505$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.5117557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over74c3,948$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.24,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over78c3,828$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.5427955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c3,450$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.9315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over58c2,848$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.735954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e40fbacked Under43c2,794$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.343948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Over58c2,533$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.782755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Over58c2,521$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.831637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c2,100$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6755351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked Under43c2,021$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.221866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Under41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.97357.5%42 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Under1c1,881$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.811546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over58c1,681$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.898949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under26c1,547$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2296445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over56c1,518$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.93785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+88.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under30c1,385$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.1674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under42c1,360$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.3841850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…3399backed Over72c1,344$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.59540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under42c1,280$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.675056%28 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa89d…9c36backed Over58c1,261$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over58c1,056$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.452948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over77c999.98$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under42c999.95$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.983821.1%8 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under25c956.86$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.426,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under41c868.86$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.236439.1%25 W · 39 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under41c856.89$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over58c840.34$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.943767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Over66c828.03$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4410253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c810.86$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.522,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under9c799.93$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.994143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Over59c780.32$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.934854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c756.31$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6520054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over55c702.08$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.925457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over55c702.08$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.922744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over55c700.17$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.089058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Under43c676.06$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.712828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under43c660.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.952138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under42c610.8$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.541931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under26c599.22$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.871,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde19…e90dbacked Under43c579.48$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1384…2c75backed Under43c568.25$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under45c511.69$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.265658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Over55c499.96$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.98450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over54c482.85$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.132,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over77c455.65$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.137143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over55c449.74$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3811652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over58c436.98$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.533174.2%23 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under11c430.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3369742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over57c427.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.044656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over58c425.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.915349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1726…6c90backed Over59c413.31$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c399.98$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9980853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over74c393.69$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7813748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1703…1ab4backed Over80c384.09$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.822437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under21c376.86$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.139352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Over55c355.05$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.681573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over55c353.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.223562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Under30c339.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.99850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Over68c335.31$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.74850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Under29c334.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.72812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick41cpaid-73.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over74c334.23$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over59c330.64$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.568158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under23c313.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.863053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under15c285.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under27c275.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.454637%17 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over80c271.7$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3442240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over58c252.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.883650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under42c249.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under42c247.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.989152.7%48 W · 43 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Over55c243.64$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+263.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Over55c237.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Over59c226.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over54c226.05$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.981,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60fe…f286backed Under43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.582166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Under43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.581963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5155…7b9fbacked Under43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…a021backed Over55c221.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over58c218.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5769651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over57c218.73$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0513348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked Over56c217.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.621464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Under45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.72532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over64c214.88$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under29c214.48$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.543241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over56c211$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8417337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over58c205.04$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.126451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Over55c199.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.32871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over59c195.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.985056%28 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.