Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fc2f4ae3b0f2edf151e3cdcd6877bd12a5bcd41df2bec2095f4c6de0d24305b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 34c | 13,074$4,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,488.27 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Under | 45c | 10,034$4,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.54 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 58c | 6,244$3,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.16 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 5,849$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.5 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Under | 42c | 5,580$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.46 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 42c | 5,566$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.57 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 42c | 4,505$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.51 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 3,948$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.2 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 78c | 3,828$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.54 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 58c | 3,450$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.93 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 58c | 2,848$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.73 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e40fbacked Under | 43c | 2,794$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.34 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 58c | 2,533$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Over | 58c | 2,521$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 2,100$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.67 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 43c | 2,021$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.22 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.9 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Under | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Over | 58c | 1,681$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 26c | 1,547$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Over | 56c | 1,518$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.93 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 1,385$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.16 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 42c | 1,360$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.38 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…3399backed Over | 72c | 1,344$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 42c | 1,280$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.67 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89d…9c36backed Over | 58c | 1,261$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 58c | 1,056$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 77c | 999.98$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Under | 42c | 999.95$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.98 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 956.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.42 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 41c | 868.86$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 856.89$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.33 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 58c | 840.34$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 66c | 828.03$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.44 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 57c | 810.86$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.52 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 9c | 799.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Over | 59c | 780.32$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.93 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 756.31$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.65 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 55c | 702.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Over | 55c | 702.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 55c | 700.17$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.08 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Under | 43c | 676.06$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 43c | 660.34$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 42c | 610.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 599.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.87 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 43c | 579.48$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1384…2c75backed Under | 43c | 568.25$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 45c | 511.69$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Over | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 482.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 77c | 455.65$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 55c | 449.74$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.38 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 58c | 436.98$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 57c | 427.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Over | 58c | 425.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…6c90backed Over | 59c | 413.31$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 399.98$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 74c | 393.69$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 80c | 384.09$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 21c | 376.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 55c | 355.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 30c | 339.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Over | 68c | 335.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…0ae4backed Under | 29c | 334.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 74c | 334.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.56 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 23c | 313.69$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 15c | 285.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 27c | 275.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 80c | 271.7$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 42c | 247.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Over | 55c | 243.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +263.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Over | 55c | 237.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…359bbacked Over | 59c | 226.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 54c | 226.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5155…7b9fbacked Under | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…a021backed Over | 55c | 221.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 58c | 218.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 57c | 218.73$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x317f…3a7abacked Over | 56c | 217.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 64c | 214.88$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 29c | 214.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 56c | 211$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 58c | 205.04$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 55c | 199.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 59c | 195.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.